New Delhi: According to a committee appointed by the government on Kovid-19, no new lockdown should be imposed at the district or state level to prevent the spread of Kovid-19 unless there is no possible threat to health care facilities. The committee headed by Professor M Vidyasagar of IIT Hyderabad also claimed that if all protocols are followed, the epidemic can be controlled by early next year. Also Read – The government for the first time admitted, ‘Community infection of corona virus occurred in some districts’
The ten-member committee conducted a study on “Progress of the Kovid-19 Pandemic in India: Diagnosis and Lockdown Effects”. The committee has developed an evidence-based mathematical model for the growth of Kovid-19. The ‘supermodel’ at the national level is based on various parameters including lockdown time, alternate lockdown scenarios, the effect of migrant workers returning to their homes and the impact of not following safety protocols. Also Read – Corona’s Peak Passed in India! Second wave cannot be ruled out in winter: official panel
The committee said, “If we all follow these protocols, the epidemic can be controlled by keeping infection cases at a minimum by the end of February early next year. We do not yet know about the epidemic how it will behave in particular climates (viruses are generally more active in cold environments). ” Also Read – How long can coronavirus stay on human skin? This was revealed in the study
Vidyasagar said, “Therefore, the current personal safety protocols need to be continued, otherwise we may see a rapid increase in cases of infection. No new lockdown should be imposed at the district or state level to prevent the spread of Kovid-19 unless there is a potential threat to health care facilities. “
The committee said that the upcoming festival and winter season may increase susceptibility to infection but all activities can be resumed provided proper safety protocols are followed. He said that the quick and comprehensive lockdown helped prevent cases from increasing in number and also reduced the load on the system.
The committee said in the report, “The epidemic without lockdown would have badly affected India and by June, the number of cases would have crossed 14 million.” If India had waited till May to implement the lockdown, by June the number of active cases would have been around 5 million. “
Based on the provisional framework of the analyzes conducted for Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, the committee concluded that labor exodus had little effect on the total number of infections in these states. The committee also said that with the implementation of various security protocols such as wearing masks and following social distance, a comprehensive lockdown was put in place and India faced the corona virus better than many other countries. The committee has recommended that the current personal safety protocol needs to be continued in full, otherwise the country may see a rapid rise in cases of infection.